The day started with forex USD dollar strength, confirmed with MACD and Stochastic Divergence. Even Fibonacci pointed down. All we had to do is break the Central Pivot Point. Alas, we didn’t and the thin market really exaggerated the response. A triangle gave us a clue about the “fake out”, but you don’t know until it happens.
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It was a flat forex day with no forex news on the forex calendar. Not a great forex trading day. The forex market is still getting used to the US Dollar low. We’ll just consolidate here until new forex momentum is created tomorrow. Today’s forex trading strategy was “Capital Preservation”….
Hey everyone, happy holidays!! For this presentation I analyze the Euro USD, Kiwi Dollar and cable. Thin, holiday conditions abound I am taking a very conservative approach to the market. Technical analysis is flimsy at best during holiday periods. Good luck today!! David Pegler
Hey Everyone, for this rather lengthy video I take a look at a basket of Yens including the USD Yen, Aussie Yen and Euro Yen. In addition to these Yen related pairs I also take a look at the Kiwi Dollar and Cable. Some reasonably involved analysis for a few pairs. I hope you enjoy the presentation and good luck today!! David Pegler
The US dollar gained ground against the euro after ECB staff’s revised eurozone GDP projections were released during today’s New York session. While the short trade entry level on the EUR/USD was justified by a plethora of nearby resistance, the nature of the preceding move made the scenario a test of mettle. Traders who took the shot were rewarded with a profit of up to 70 pips [depending on entry and exit strategy].
The US dollar posted a modest recovery during today’s New York session. A trendline re-test on the EUR/USD currency pair was the basis for a 40-pip short trade which ended at the 5 EMA on the daily chart.
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www.moneyshow.com?scode=013356 Watch forex trading expert Rob Booker discuss the outlook for the dollar, major currencies, technical and fundamental analysis, and strategies for FX trading.
For traders in foreign exchange market, the ML FX Clone has due significance. It works with a methodology to replicate forex (FX) strategies of hedge funds, which help typical investors better understand and/or eventually access FX markets with larger ease, at pretty low cost. Actually, the ML FX Clone was designed for replicating the most common styles of FX investment that successful portfolio managers follow.
Research analysts of Merrill Lynch devised ML FX Clone to aid investors who’re willing to get exposure to foreign exchange as a significant asset class. And at the same time, it is also meant for those who’re willing to hedge core exposure to lucrative currency funds. Impressively, it also assists investors in separating manager alpha (the degree to which a portfolio manager has contributed to returns) from the beta (the degree to which market factors have contributed to returns).
The officials of Merrill Lynch’s international foreign exchange $ local currency department said that their replication strategies are offering highly attractive returns along with diversification benefits that are pretty identical to ones from the indices of the broader currency portfolio manager. But they also admitted that the strategies from those portfolio managers come with more transparency, greater liquidity, lesser manager risk, and lower trading or transaction costs.
Replicating 3 forex strategies
The 3 strategies replicated by FX Clone are –
Momentum
Carry Trade
U.S. Dollar
Actually, Merrill Lynch developed this system for turning foreign exchange into a very accessible and available asset class through offering more info and insight regarding those 3 investment strategies, which portfolio managers commonly use. If you look at ‘momentum’ – the first one among those strategies, portfolio manager used it for identifying and following market trends.
However, ‘carry trade’ (the 2nd strategy) is based on a technique, which requires investors to buy various currencies from a range of economies that have higher rates of interest and sell the currencies from economies that have lower rates of interest.
However, the U.S. dollar technique (the 3rd strategy) requires investors to judge the viability of buying and selling a particular currency in respect of the ongoing value of the U.S. dollar.
Analysts of Merrill Lynch however managed to establish a significant correlation between the functionality of FX Clone and the current benchmarked indices of the currency market, along with the Parker FX index. All that shows that this process is able to capture a large part of the variability (embedded into the returns) that most successful portfolio managers achieve.
Backtesting analysis proved that FX Clone managed to achieve an AAR of over 9% with aproximately 0.81. During the last couple of years, the FX Clone of Merrill Lynch has managed to mirror the lack of efficiency in the Parker FX index.
Analysts of Merrill Lynch previously declared that such programmed attempts to use the FX Clone model to replicate hedge fund returns has opened new horizon in the investment opportunities in hedge funds. Critics say that this is a clear indication of the progressive maturity of the local and international hedge fund industry. That is how, we have more of those active managers sharing and competing for accessible returns, with better forex strategies.